Jasmine Paolini vs Yuliia Starodubtseva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Paolini's second serve points won in the last six months stand at 41.98%, slightly trailing behind Starodubtseva, who has achieved 43.36%. Could this marginal lead affect the match outcome? It's possible.
• In terms of returning their opponent's second serve, Paolini has a slight edge, winning 47.75% of points compared to Starodubtseva's 47.72%. This shows a balanced duel in return performance.
• First serve return stats favor Starodubtseva, as she leads with 37.05%, compared to Paolini's 34.24% - a potential indicator of her strength in this matchup.
• Under pressure, Starodubtseva also outperforms Paolini by saving 46.84% of breakpoints, while Paolini manages 43.75%.
• Over the past year, Paolini holds a stronger match win percentage at 71.64%, significantly higher than Starodubtseva's 54.55%, suggesting more consistent performance.
• Paolini excels on clay, with a career win rate of 64%, whereas Starodubtseva is strongest on grass, winning 71% of matches. Could the surface be the deciding factor?
• Both players have shown equal success at the Masters series level in the last year, with a win rate of 66.67%.
• Paolini has faced higher-ranked opponents on average, with an opponent ranking of 51.15 compared to Starodubtseva's 153.71, indicating Paolini's experience against tougher competition.
• In deciding sets, Paolini has a slight edge, winning 61% compared to Starodubtseva's 59%, which might be crucial if the match goes the distance.
• Recent form shows Paolini converts 37.63% of breakpoint opportunities, marginally ahead of Starodubtseva's 36.57%, indicating a potential advantage in critical moments.

Editorial Prediction (May 30, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing the head-to-head statistics, several factors suggest Paolini might have a slight edge going into the upcoming match. Although both players have similar capabilities at the Masters level, Paolini's overall match win rate of 71.64% in the last year showcases her consistency in securing victories.

Paolini's experience against higher-ranked opponents and her ability to perform slightly better in deciding sets are noteworthy. This could prove decisive if the match is closely contested. Furthermore, her marginally better breakpoint conversion rate implies a potential edge in crucial game moments.

Despite Starodubtseva's resilience in saving breakpoints and her superior performance on certain surfaces, Paolini seems better positioned to leverage her strengths in this matchup. Based on these insights, Paolini appears to be the likely winner of the upcoming tennis match.